IN CC Stats

Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank	#22
New Prairie Semi-State Rank	#4
Crown Point Regional Rank	#1
Highland Sectional Rank	#1
Most Likely Finish	23rd place at State Finals

State Champion	0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals	0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals	6.0%
Advance to State Finals	100.0%
Advance to Semi-State	100.0%
Advance to Regional	100.0%

All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.


			Season Rating	Crown Point Invitational	Jack Bransford Classic	Rudy Skorupa Invitational	Harrison Invitational	Bob Thomas Invitational	New Prairie Invitational	Highland Invitational	Duneland Athletic Conf.	Lowell Last Chance Twilight	Highland Sectional	Crown Point Regional	New Prairie Semi-State	State Finals
Date				8/16	8/22	8/29	9/5	9/12	9/19	9/26	10/3	10/6	10/10	10/17	10/24	10/31
Team Rating			355	369	340	279	301	357	320	572	369	NEI	331	361	391	405
Team Adjusted Rating				369	340	279	301	357	320	355	369	NEI	324	359	367	387
State Rank	Runner		Season Rating	Crown Point Invitational	Jack Bransford Classic	Rudy Skorupa Invitational	Harrison Invitational	Bob Thomas Invitational	New Prairie Invitational	Highland Invitational	Duneland Athletic Conf.	Lowell Last Chance Twilight	Highland Sectional	Crown Point Regional	New Prairie Semi-State	State Finals
134	Natalie Kransky	10	20:01	20:23	20:03	19:30	19:43	20:00	19:38		20:01		19:51	20:04	20:18	20:28
139	Rachel Narjes	11	20:02	20:20	20:13	19:48	19:56	20:18	20:06		20:04		19:43	20:05	20:06	20:07
210	Carly Davis	11	20:24	21:09	20:27	20:08	20:15	20:21	20:09		20:38		20:06	20:29	20:35	20:30
212	Abigail Martisek	12	20:24	20:34	20:18	19:54	20:10	20:56	20:05		20:27		21:02	20:20	20:10	20:33
228	Addison Roth	9	20:27	20:19	20:12	20:03	19:53	20:22	20:58		20:55
278	Taylor Kosiek	11	20:35	20:19	20:13				20:27	21:00	20:25		20:26	20:29	20:52	20:53
316	Sydney Churilla	9	20:45	20:41	20:23	20:30	20:22	20:22	20:44	20:50	20:50		20:35	21:33	21:20	20:46
323	Emily Thomas	12	20:46	20:51	20:29	20:26	20:17	20:46	20:48		20:47		20:35	20:58	21:00	21:15
331	Nicole Vollrath	9	20:47	21:11	20:39	21:15		20:20	20:27	20:57	20:58
416	Isabelle Martisek	9	21:04	20:59	20:59			21:34	20:53	21:02	21:08	NEI
497	Krista Kulacz	11	21:18	20:18	21:45	21:01	21:04	21:26	21:18	21:31	21:20	NEI
543	Riley Knestrict	12	21:25	21:06	21:05	20:55	21:01	21:46	21:29		22:04
643	Marie Weber	9	21:42		22:05	21:31		21:35	21:31	22:08
900	Amanda Spanier	10	22:21	22:16	21:56	21:44		22:30		22:15	23:25
1,019	Kylie Carroll	11	22:37	22:30	22:18	22:59		22:10	22:33	22:33	22:56	NEI
1,187	Abigail Barrett	11	22:58	24:13	23:53	23:09		22:54	22:29	22:39	22:50	NEI
1,415	Arianna Nash	9	23:28	23:17		23:34		23:27		23:32	23:35	NEI
	Nora Markley	10	23:41	24:34	24:25					23:42	23:05	NEI
	Brenna Pancheo	9	23:42		24:43	23:07
	Khaila Freitag	11	23:52		24:23	24:10		23:49			24:04	NEI
	Samantha Lazowski	10	24:57	23:34	23:17	23:27		24:23	26:14	25:04	25:23	NEI
	Cylea Loeffler	9	25:22	23:20	25:04	25:29		27:46
	Alissya Popoca	12	29:30	23:17		40:11

IHSAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	Finishing Place
	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
State Finals	100%	18.3	437				0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	1.1	1.6	1.9	2.8	3.1	4.0	4.8	5.2	6.0	6.8	6.9	7.6	7.9	9.1	10.2	13.3	6.3
Semi-State	100%	3.4	149	14.7	21.0	22.6	17.3	10.7	6.3	3.6	2.0	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0
Regionals	100%	1.1	33	94.2	5.5	0.3
Sectionals	100%	1.0	15	100.0

Individual Results

Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.

State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	Indv No Team	Indv
State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place	Indv No Team	Indv
Natalie Kransky	100%	105.6			11.6%
Rachel Narjes	100%	107.6			9.4%
Carly Davis	100%	139.0			0.5%
Abigail Martisek	100%	139.1			0.4%
Addison Roth	100%	142.5			0.2%
Taylor Kosiek	100%	153.7			0.0%
Sydney Churilla	100%	165.8			0.0%

Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	5	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																					Indv No Team	Indv
Natalie Kransky	100%	23.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.9	1.3	1.9	3.0	3.6	4.3	4.8	5.4	5.8	5.4	5.7	5.7	5.4	4.8		100.0%
Rachel Narjes	100%	24.4			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.2	1.6	2.2	3.0	4.0	4.1	4.6	5.6	5.4	5.4	4.9	4.6	4.9		100.0%
Carly Davis	100%	42.7						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.7	1.1	1.3	1.3	1.7		100.0%
Abigail Martisek	100%	42.6										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.9	1.2	1.3	1.3		100.0%
Addison Roth	100%	45.5								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.9	1.0		100.0%
Taylor Kosiek	100%	54.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.5		100.0%
Sydney Churilla	100%	66.1																	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1		100.0%

Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Natalie Kransky	100%	3.1		13.9	32.8	25.5	12.8	6.8	4.0	1.8	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0										100.0%
Rachel Narjes	100%	3.4		12.0	28.4	26.8	14.1	8.2	4.7	2.7	1.3	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0								100.0%
Carly Davis	100%	7.6		0.2	1.7	4.9	10.8	13.0	12.7	11.8	10.5	8.7	7.2	5.5	4.2	2.9	2.2	1.4	0.9	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		100.0%
Abigail Martisek	100%	7.7		0.3	1.6	4.6	10.1	12.6	12.5	12.5	11.3	8.6	7.0	5.6	4.1	2.9	2.1	1.4	1.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0			100.0%
Addison Roth	100%	8.3		0.2	0.9	3.4	8.2	10.3	12.0	11.6	11.4	9.8	8.2	6.5	5.0	4.0	2.9	2.1	1.5	0.8	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			100.0%
Taylor Kosiek	100%	10.8		0.0	0.3	0.7	2.4	4.4	6.1	8.3	9.4	10.1	10.8	9.6	8.4	7.3	6.0	5.1	3.9	2.6	1.9	1.2	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1		100.0%
Sydney Churilla	100%	13.9			0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.6	2.9	4.2	5.9	7.4	8.7	9.3	9.7	9.5	8.6	7.5	6.8	5.3	3.7	2.7	1.9	1.2	0.9	0.4		100.0%

Sectionals	Avg Finish	Finishing Place
Sectionals	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25
Natalie Kransky	1.0	51.8	35.7	8.6	2.7	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0
Rachel Narjes	1.2	42.3	42.3	10.7	3.2	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0
Carly Davis	3.6	2.1	7.1	24.7	25.4	19.5	12.7	6.2	1.8	0.5	0.0
Abigail Martisek	3.7	1.8	7.2	24.5	24.2	20.1	13.1	6.5	2.3	0.4	0.1
Addison Roth	4.1	1.1	4.8	18.8	23.2	23.7	16.2	8.4	3.2	0.6	0.0
Taylor Kosiek	5.4	0.3	1.2	6.4	11.5	18.9	27.2	21.2	10.3	2.6	0.3	0.1	0.0
Sydney Churilla	6.7	0.0	0.2	1.3	3.2	6.8	16.0	32.4	27.8	10.4	1.5	0.4	0.1	0.0